Thursday, April 09, 2020 8:43:53 PM - Markets open
VN-INDEX 760.33 +12.31/+1.65%
HNX-INDEX 105.08 +1.15/+1.10%
UPCOM-INDEX 50.74 +0.43/+0.86%
Trade wars, speculation to hurt stocks
VietnamPlus - 9/3/2019 1:16:06 PM
 (0 ratings. You must sign in to rate.)

The market sentiment will remain lateral in September weighed down by global economic and political tensions while trading quiet amid speculations of Q3 corporate earnings.

The US-China trade war was taken to the new level on September 1 after China and the US announced tariffs imposed on each other’s products.
Even comments from US President Donald Trump about the continuance of new trade talks cannot clear the cloud that has overshadowed the global markets in recent months.
Political and economic tensions in other areas of the world such as the East Asia (between Japan and the Republic of Korea) have also cautioned investors in Vietnam about the global economic recession.
The benchmark VN-Index on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange gained 0.56 percent to close last week at 984.06 points but it dropped total 0.84 percent last week.
The VN-Index has struggled to rise in total as much as 5.82 percent since June 27. It has failed to conquer the 1,000-point level three times.
On the Hanoi Stock Exchange, the HNX-Index increased 0.37 percent to end at 102.32 points, totalling a weekly loss of 0.90 percent.
The market is in negative shape and is too dependent and driven on the international developments, according to Phan Dung Khanh, director of investment consultancy at Maybank Kim Eng Securities.
Worries about the global economy and stocks have triggered stronger foreign selling in recent weeks, putting more pressure on the Vietnamese market, Khanh told
Last week, foreign investors net-sold total 130 billion VND (5.6 million USD) worth of Vietnamese shares. Net foreign selling in August touched 1.73 trillion VND, which was a back step compared to July’s net foreign purchase of 2.24 trillion VND.
The US-China trade war clearly has impeded the foreign capital flowing into Vietnam’s market in recent weeks. Plus the decline of trading liquidity, “Vietnamese shares will remain quiet in the coming weeks if there are no improvements in those factors,” he said.
An average of more than 187.6 million shares was traded in each session of last week, down 4.5 percent from the previous week.
According to Viet Dragon Securities Co (VDSC), core inflation has caught up on the Government’s target of 2 percent for 2019, therefore, it is unlikely investors will be able to seek financing for their purchases in the remaining months.
In addition, the central bank’s monetary tightening policy towards the sectors with high demand of long-term capital such as realty has made corporate bond market, which has average per annum yield rate of 11-14.5 percent, become more attractive to investors than stocks.
The US-China trade war and its potential risks on the global economy also press investors to escape from stocks and find shelter in safer ones (gold, government bond and US dollar), so the market trading liquidity will unlikely increase in the future. So the VN-Index may be unable to post sharp gain.
Investors are becoming less dynamic and excited, so the market is getting quieter with stocks being hit by selling pressure, Nguyen Trung Du, director of market analysis at VNDirect Securities Corp, said.
“There is now no information that is strong enough to cushion the market sentiment and overwhelm worries about the economic recession,” he said.
“There is no clue for a positive rebound of the stock market in September and the best forecast now is the market will move sideways amid speculations about Q3 corporate earnings season,” Du said.
But it is too risky to begin hunting for companies’ stocks with expectations for good Q3 performances, Khanh at Maybank Kim Eng Securities Co said.
“The global economy is going down, Vietnam’s economic growth is slowing, and domestic firms are being heavily weighed down by the trade war,” he said.
In the second quarter, total profit of listed firms rose only 5 percent year on year – the lowest in five years. The number of loss-making firms accounted for 15 percent of total listed firms and a third of total firms posted lower profits. – VNS/VNA
Read original article here
Newer News
13:25 Shares rebound on increasing demand but worries remain
13:16 Market capitalisation of listed shares on HOSE drops in March
08/04 Shares recede on worries of foreign selloffs
07/04 VN-Index witnesses largest one-day gain in 19 years
04/04 Local shares end positively on oil price hikes, better market sentiment
01/04 VN stocks pick up after officials' reassurances
30/03 VN stocks nosedive following higher infection reports
27/03 Shares struggle as investors still cautious after hefty gains
26/03 Securities service fees cut does help, but more drastic measures in need: experts
26/03 VN-Index witnesses largest one-day gain since 2012
Older News
30/08 VN stocks up slightly as CPI moves forward
29/08 VN stocks down, worries remain over the market uptrend
28/08 VN stocks fall as investors face uncertainties
27/08 VN stocks drop on global pressures
26/08 VN-Index may face correction pressure when nearing 1000 points
21/08 Shares advance as blue-chips gain ground
20/08 Shares move up with strong divergence among large-caps
19/08 Vietnam stocks predicted to swing for another week
15/08 Securities regulator unveils corporate governance code
14/08 Investors cheer US tariff delay
Newsletter Signup
Top Stories
Reference exchange rate down 5 VND on March 26
Reference exchange rate up 5 VND on March 18
Shares tumble over WHO declaration of COVID-19 pandemic
Tight co-ordination needed to ensure EVFTA benefits
VN shares mixed, but growth expected to return
Market Update
Last updated at 3:10:04 PM
VN-INDEX 760.33 +12.31/+1.65%
Real-time chart
Top 5 Actives
Top 5 Gainers
Top 5 Losers
My Favorite Quotes
Your most recently viewed tickers will automatically show up here if you type a ticker in the Get Quotes box on the top of the page.
Company Research
Type in the symbol above for thorough background information, key statistics and financial information.
Stock Sectors
We continuously improve our services, here are the latest updates...
Allow you to monitor a customised group of securities. You can set up multiple Portfolios to help you better manage your investments.
Trigger Alerts
Get up-to-date alerts delivered directly to your email address.
Stock Screener
Allow you to filter the market and find exactly what sort of company you are looking for.
Live Terminal
Get instant access to FREE REAL-TIME streaming quotes for hundreds of stocks from HOSE, HNX and UPCOM exchanges.