Late last week the Vietnam
Banking Association (VNBA) held a meeting with bank representatives from
the north and south. The details of the meeting remain unreleased, but
well-informed sources claim that the members discussed a proposal to
remove the deposit interest rate ceiling, which is now 10.5 percent per
annum.
Current laws do not
stipulate the ceiling deposit interest rate, just the ceiling interest
rate in general, which is understood as the maximum lending interest
rate. It is calculated as 150 percent of the basic interest rate
announced by SBV.
On December 2, 2009, SBV
released Document No. 9484 to stabilize the monetary market. The decree
ordered commercial banks to mobilize capital at interest rates of less
than 10.5 percent per year. SBV also threatened to conduct inspection
tours of banks offering overly high interest rates.
Afterwards, many commercial
banks with deposit interest rates of 10.5 percent hurried to lower them
to 10.499 percent.
As a result, all commercial
banks now offer the same interest rate, no matter if the deposits are
short, medium or long-term.
The central bank once made a
similar move to stabilize the monetary market on February 26, 2008. At
that time SBV limited the mobilization of capital at no more than 12
percent per annum.
Nowadays banks have every
reason to hope that the deposit interest rate ceiling will be removed.
Once the ceiling lending interest rate scheme ends, the ceiling deposit
interest rate will no longer have any significance.
Commercial banks argue that
they need enough autonomy to take initiative in their businesses.
Financial analysts believe that it is understandable for SBV maintain
the ceiling deposit interest rate of 10.5 percent per annum, which will
serve as a safety-line that banks can use to define reasonable profit
margins.
According to the latest SBV
report, the banking system’s liquidity has improved with usable capital
in excess. Some big banks have restructured their interest rate
policies rather than keeping the same interest rate for all kinds of
deposits.
Open market statistics also
provide noteworthy information. Before Tet, SBV pumped 12-15 trillion
dong a day through the open market operation (OMO). Meanwhile, in the
last week, the volume of capital pumped thought OMO decreased
significantly. On March 3, the figure was 10 trillion dong, while the
figures were just 3.2 trillion dong for March 4 and 3.13 trillion dong
on March 5. On March 8, only SBV issued just 2.3 trillion dong though
OMO.
SBV also reports that the
interbank interest rate also decreased sharply by 0.04-3.34 percent last
week compared with the previous week. The average interest rate of
short-term loans (overnight loans, one week loans) declined 3.64 and
2.08 percent per annum respectively.
VNBA observed that, as
liquidity has improved, banks will not mobilize capital at any cost. If
the 10.5 ceiling interest rate is removed, deposit interest rates will
increase to higher levels, but financial experts predict they will not
be too high.